Quantitative Risk Analysis Project Management for Oil and Gas Training

Analisis Risiko Kuantitatif Manajemen Proyek adalah metode yang digunakan untuk mengidentifikasi dan mengukur risiko dalam proyek dan operasi. Dengan pendekatan ini, kita dapat memperkirakan kemungkinan dan dampak dari berbagai risiko, serta mengembangkan strategi mitigasi & langkah-langkah penanganan yang solutif-efektif.

DEVELOP menyelenggarakan Kelas Quantitative Risk Analysis Project Management for Oil and Gas Training yang akan melatih Anda untuk berbagai kebutuhan pengelolaan Oil Gas projects&operation meliputi :

• Analisis Risiko Kuantitatif untuk Proyek & Operasi Minyak dan Gas
• Mengukur Uncertainty/Ketidakpastian dengan metode teruji
• Menerapkan proses QRA dan alat manajemen proyek untuk kontrol dan pengambilan keputusan yang lebih baik.
• Memprediksi kinerja proyek&operasi di masa depan menggunakan metrik seperti Estimate at Completion (EAC) dan To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI).
• Studi Kasus dan Penerapan Praktis: Menerapkan konsep EVM ke skenario dunia nyata untuk meningkatkan pemahaman praktis dan penerapan teknik

Pembahasan materi mengetengahkan contoh-contoh latihan dalam konteks dunia proyek konstruksi sehingga lebih familier dengan aktivitas proyek sehari-hari.

Quantitative Risk Analysis Project Management for Oil and Gas Training

Project Risk Management memegang peran penting &di perlukan karena :

• Terdapat hal-hal tak terduga yang muncul saat pelaksanaan proyek, tidak masuk dalam schedule tapi memiliki impact/pengaruh terhadap kemajuan jadwal proyek
• Pada pelaksanaan Project sering ditemukan Perkiraan Resiko/Risk Process belum quantitative (contoh : terukur akibatnya/Impact Measure,Durasi Kemungkinan terjadi/Probability Duration,Faktor Predecessor&Successor, top risk ranking),sehingga Perkiraan Resiko akan lebih konkret.
• Terdapat Uncertain Spending/hal-hal tidak masuk dalam master plan project yang muncul saat pelaksanaan proyek, yang dapat mempengaruhi kondisi financial Perusahaan.

DEVELOP menyusun&menerapkan Silabus Quantitative Risk Analysis for Oil and Gas Projects & Operations Training dengan tahapan-tahapan pembelajaran berkualitas sbb :

SESI 1-2

Skill Focus:

• Introduction to Project Management
• Project Scheduling
  • Developing Work Breakdown Structures
  • Defining Activities and Durations
  • Creating Network Plans
  • Applying Critical Path Method (CPM)
  • Tracing Logic in Network Plans
  • Automating Project Schedules
  • Analyzing Critical Tasks and Paths
  • Adjusting Activities as Needed
  • Assigning Lags and Constraints
  • Establishing Project Baselines
  • Comparing Current Progress to Baselines
  • Planning vs. Actual Progress (Resource-Free)
• Resource Assignment & Analysis
  • Utilizing Default Resource Databases
  • Creating Resource Breakdown Structures
  • Managing Currency and Units of Measure
  • Setting Up Resource Calendars
  • Allocating Resources to Activities
  • Developing Resource Tables, Diagrams (Histograms), and Graphs (Curves)
  • Analyzing Resource and Cost Usage
  • Visualizing Resources with Curves
• Project Cost Control
  • Planning Progress with Resources
  • Managing Duration Types (Fixed Duration & Fixed Units)
  • Tracking Percent Complete (Duration, Unit, Physical)
• Progress Tracking with Resources
  • Customizing Actual Units and Percent Complete
  • Performing Earned Value Analysis (PVC, AC, EVC, CV, CPI, SPI)
• Custom Project Tools
• Case Study

SESI 3-4

Skill Focus:

• Risk Concepts
  • Importance and Methods of Risk Analysis
  • Understanding Risk Theory
  • Developing Risk Analysis Flowcharts
  • Building Risk Models
  • Analyzing and Reviewing Risks
  • Mitigating and Reporting Risks
• Risk Setup
• Risk Data Management
  • Calculating Risk Percentiles
  • Assessing Uncertainty in Internal Activities & Resources
  • Identifying External Risk Events
  • Establishing Deterministic Baselines (Original Plans)
  • Creating Probabilistic Baselines (Original Plan + Risk)
• Monte Carlo Simulation
  • Calculating Total Error
  • Determining Standard Deviation
  • Modeling Random Variables for Total Costs
  • Creating Probability Distribution Function Graphs
  • Developing Cumulative Distribution Functions
• Schedule & Duration Management
  • Planning Information
  • Customizing Task Durations
  • Managing Task Webs and Successors
  • Establishing Baselines
• Schedule Review (Control Baseline)
  • Using Checklists and Rationales
  • Generating Schedule Check Reports
  • Handling Open-Ended Tasks
  • Setting Start & Finish Milestones
• Duration Quick Risk Assessment
  • Detailed Risk Formulas
  • Conducting Monte Carlo Simulations with Iterations
  • Creating Risk Distribution Graphs
• Template Quick Risk Application
  • Verifying Task Existence
  • Adjusting Total Duration After Task Link Assignments
  • Applying Quick Risk Templates to Schedules
  • Running Risk Analyses
  • Developing Risk Distribution Graphs
  • Customizing Risk per Activity
  • Determining Risk Levels for Qualitative Uncertainty
• Risk Register (Qualitative & Quantitative Analysis)
  • Pre-Mitigation (Probabilistic, Schedule, Cost, Performance)
  • Mitigated Risks (Response, Title, Total Cost)
  • Building Impacted Risk Plans
  • Expanding Tasks for Risk Scoring
  • Customizing Risk Scoring Methods
  • Assigning Risks to Tasks Quantitatively
  • Developing Risk Distribution Graphs
• Case Study: Customized Risk Analysis Aligned with Project/Operation Goals
  • Establishing Deterministic Baselines
  • Identifying Risk Events & Uncertainties
  • Creating Probabilistic Baselines
  • Conducting Duration Quick Risk Assessments
  • Applying Template Quick Risk
  • Verifying Task Existence

SESI 5-6

Skill Focus:

• Risk Events for Weather Modeling
  • Assigning Resources to Tasks
  • Planning Resource Quick Risks
  • Identifying Weather-Related Events
  • Assessing Schedule Risks from Weather
  • Creating Tornado Graphs
• Resource & Cost Uncertainty Management
• Risk Analysis & Mitigation
• Risk Output Generation
• Quality Assurance Checks & Final Risk Analysis Reporting
• Case Study: Customized Risk Analysis Aligned with Project/Operation Goals
  • Implementing Weather Modeling
  • Developing Risk Registers (Qualitative & Quantitative Analyses)
    • Qualitative Analysis
      • Impact on Schedule & Cost
      • Risk Data & Impact Assessment
      • Deterministic Baselines
      • Probabilistic Distributions
      • Achievement Probabilities
      • Mitigation Planning
    • Quantitative Analysis
      • Addressing Risks & Uncertainties
      • Identifying Risk Events & Uncertainties
      • Ensuring Feasibility & Realistic Analysis

Quantitative Risk Analysis Project Management for Oil and Gas Training

Materi Training dirancang khusus oleh para praktisi Project Engineers sesuai dengan experience dan solid knowledge  mereka dalam menangani project. Anda akan mendapat sharing ilmu langsung dari para praktisi yang berpengalaman bertahun-tahun.

Selama training, instruktur kami akan menggunakan kombinasi teori serta praktek langsung dengan studi kasus telah dipersiapkan yang menyerupai Proyek nyata.

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